The iPad Media Expectations

For a large part, the Apple tablet was seen as a potential solution for the media industry problem: a digital infrastructure for delivery and transactions encompassing a vast array of media products — instantiated in a device destined to become a de facto standard.

Many blame the media industry for not being able to come up with such an ecosystem. This is an unfair criticism. Building a universal payment system for the web, even at the limited scale of a single country is already complicated. Let alone an interconnected system allowing users to jump from one country to another. Even the music industry — can’t we think of more global product? – couldn’t do it. As for agreeing on a set of specifications for a device, it would have been impossible. Too many views, ideas, concepts, priorities to unify. To say nothing of egos.

Hence the reliance on Steve Jobs’ vision. As the media industry kept unraveling, such reliance mutated into a desperate hope. Can he save us? Can he do for the media business what he did to the music industry with the iPod + iTunes magic combination?

In this respect, the January 27th release of the iPad fell below expectations. The device is great, it has all the attributes of an Apple product: a sleek design and a gorgeous interface. But Steve Job’s presentation was short on contents. We had a glimpse of the New York Times reader apparently crash-coded in three weeks, but no magazine, nor mind-blowing hybrid content (I’ll come to that notion later). Given the hype, maybe Apple could have waited until May or September to roll-out its magic slate fully loaded with ready-to-purchase news contents. Evidently, Apple is hampered by its obsession with secrecy and its habit of making deals on its own terms – a “here-is- our-device-now-here-is-the-deal ” posture.

Granted, the product won’t ship for two or three months, depending on the version (wifi or 3G). Then, let’s give Apple and its partners the benefit of the doubt and let’s move the clock forward to spring 2011 to see what a true news media game changer could look like.

Here is the general backdrop. In 2011, the typical news site largely remains freely accessible. For the most part, publishers see their sites as mass audience products. These are built on a basic design, relatively light features and supported by all possible forms of advertising. These free sites are targeted at occasional readers who come from search engines or various referrals, and see one, two or four pages once in a while. It’s delusional to expect them pay for anything. If they hit a paywall, they’ll simply go elsewhere to find the news they want. For them, information is just a commodity that can be found more or less in the same form all over the web. They have no brand loyalty.

Most publishers don’t want to conceal their product behind a paywall. As the Guardian Editor Alan Rusbridger explains in his brilliant Hugh Cudipp lecture (an absolute must-read):

“If you erect a universal pay wall around your content then it follows you are turning away from a world of openly shared content. Again, there may be sound business reasons for doing this, but editorially it is about the most fundamental statement anyone could make about how newspapers see themselves in relation to the newly-shaped world”.

But as pragmatism finds its way to the P&L, paywalls have started to show up on the web. They are targeted to the 10 or 20% fraction of heaviest users, those who are willing to pay for slightly more content, perhaps, and, definitely, for a better user experience.

A great mobile one, for instance.

Enter the iPad application. In this spring 2011, all major news brands have one. I’ve got many on my brand new device. Here are some of the common features I enjoy.

1 / Triple play access to my favorite news brands. I can access them on a dedicated version of their web site when I’m at the office, on my iPhone in the subway and on my iPad when on the couch at home, or waiting at the airport, or in a bar. One transaction (subscription, metered account), three ways to access my news.

2 / The iNews Store. Let’s see: in 2010, I was paying online for:
- The Wall Street Journal
- The Economist
- Le Monde
- Les Echos (#1 French business paper)
- The MIT Technology Review

I happened to buy a pass for a specialized publication for a specific project I’m working on: mostly business, scientific, or higher education stuff.

In the physical world, I regularly pick-up Vanity Fair, Wired, Digital Photo Pro, Fortune Architectural Digest and Wallpaper. I occasionally get (yes) the Economist, Business Week, The Atlantic, The New Republic, etc. Question you might ask: why the hell paying for stuff that is freely available on the internet? a) because I can afford it, b) because of the incomparable user experience of a magazine: glossy pictures, layout, reading and browsing comfort, even the ad pages are attractive. Which leads us to….

3 / …My iPad Applications. As I pay now for most of those publications, I get roughly the same content as everyone else, but in a much better package. First of all, my iPad updates itself automagically. It detects when a known wifi is available (I don’t use 3G, even in France, it sucks) and it gets the contents in a timely manner. I get Wired before it hits the stands in NYC, the New Yorker every Monday and my newspapers contents gets regular updates. If the connection is good, I keep the magic of the web within my app: I’m able to post a comment for instance or to get a live streaming of an event.

Needless to say, I’m spending more since I decided to get the apps for most of the contents I was used to view for free: I’ve got the one for Le Figaro, The Guardian, and a couple of others – mostly because the reading experience is hundred times better.

It’s worth it: unlimited access, a fantastic and intuitive search engine, a recommendation system that learns the way I read thanks to its statistical algorithm, intelligent folders, all sorts of alerts, endless catalogs of topics, rich multimedia contents, a readers community, etc.

I no longer carry the glossies I used to pick up at the newsstand. Vanity Fair and the likes are loaded in my iPad. I subscribe to most them — or I get some by the copy, depending on the offers and the contents. I even enjoy particularly creative but not invasive ads: in VF, I just clicked on a Paul Smith teaser which took me to their shoes and accessories catalog. Serious spending in sight, I’m afraid.

4/ A new breed of contents. In 2011, new book formats began to show up. The hybrid type. A year earlier when the device was introduced, I was reading Too Big to Fail a remarkable account of Wall Street’s rescue. Great book by New York Times’ Andrew Ross Sorkin: 600 pages, 700 grams. With the public debt global crisis hit back the world economy, Penguin Books decided to publish a sequel — with an iPad version. Instead of yesterday’s “official” players’ black and white photographs extracted from the first paper version, now the iPad-format book comes with 16 video clips of decisive moments — provided by Bloomberg and Reuters. In addition, I’m getting 12 interactive graphics from the New York Times. It didn’t cross my mind to orders the books from Amazon as I did 18 months earlier. I’ve got my enhanced electronic version for the same price as the physical book (for the publisher, the extra cost of multimedia content was offset by savings on print and distribution).

A new kind of publications called “Books+” turned out to be a great success in the iBooks Store: compact books, 80-150 pages of text, greatly enhanced by rich multimedia contents. These new Books+ percolate into every segments of the publishing industry: current affairs books are released much faster than before (therefore increasing their value for the reader); all sorts of guides, how-to’s, do-it-yourself manuals have switched to hybrid publications, all updated as needed.

New device. New transaction system. New business models. New editorial products integrating multimedia contents. The iPad is loaded with all these hopes. But we are not there yet. It is an expensive product, impossible to subsidize by an ailing news industry, the iPad won’t be the swift economic miracle many are hoping for. At most, by squeezing cash from a marginal portion of heavy users, it will limit the inexorable deflation that plagues the information business. Even such a limiting achievement will require a great deal of imagination and boldness on the part of editors and publishers. Given the state of the media sector, it better happen fast.

frederic.filloux@mondaynote.com

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13 Comments

  1. xitobal
    Posted January 31, 2010 at 10:38 pm | Permalink

    The next #1 value proposition gets more precise every day. As usual, your summary goes straight to the point.
    But, we fall short of the innovative business model that comes with it! For the iPod, it was selling music piece by piece : no cross-subsidy, just a trade-off for most buyers to go only for the top charts instead of buying full albums (maybe the ipod was also the sleekest container for free napster-collected MP3s).
    Why not think that iPad buyers could get a similar user experience with books, video, press clippings? Why not think that advertisers could duplicate the two-faced financing of newspapers and pay for the reader’s iPad in return for behavioral data (alternative to Google’s data?)
    The cross-subsidized access terminal has become obvious to everyone, but it’s only one of telecom technology-driven options to stimulate usages…

  2. Posted February 1, 2010 at 5:41 pm | Permalink

    It may be far fetched, but xitobal might be on to something. In theory Apple could afford to give the iPad away and instead make their money from advertisers. In return for being given an iPad users would have to complete an exhaustive “lifestyle” questionnaire, telling Apple everything from what car they drive to how many insurance policies they have and their renewal dates, whether they have a mortgage, what credit cards they hold, where and how often they holiday, their occupation, their income and many, many other personal details.

    These details would enable advertisers to target those iPad users with considerable precision.

    Now suppose Apple were able to charge advertisers a rate of $40 per thousand. To recoup the $499 retail cost of each iPad, each user would have to be served a total of 12,500 advertisements. And, were each of those users to be served an average of 100 advertisements every day, whether while surfing the web, watching television or reading the news, that cost would be recouped after only 125 days.

    However, in practice Apple would probably have to share advertising revenue with content providers. And it also makes little sense to give the iPad away, as too many would then find their way in to the hands of people advertisers were less likely to want to reach. So instead Apple might decide to sell the iPad for $99 and, after sharing advertising revenue, recoup the original $499 retail price after 200 days.

    Were users to then keep their iPads for two years before being able to upgrade to the latest heavily subsidised iteration, Apple would make a “profit” of $1,060 from each user from advertising alone. Additional income could of course be derived from the sales of eBooks, movies and music through iTunes, and the $99 “retail” price would dramatically accelerate take-up of the device.

    Apple did pay $275 million to purchase Quattro Wireless at the start of the year so they could compete with Google and AdMob serving mobile ads, and the former CEO of Quattro, Andy Miller, does now report directly to Steve Jobs, so Apple clearly sees advertising as a potentially important source of revenue.

    But a $99 iPad, that surely can’t be possible?

  3. Matthieu
    Posted February 1, 2010 at 6:23 pm | Permalink

    And what if the user experience is good enough, and free?
    You can already have an iPhone version of your blog with WPTouch for example. With HTML5, you’ll have more possibilities for a great ergonomics, interactions with apps installed on your device, etc (cf. this article in french : http://bit.ly/9uAI7f). And Google is also working on a tablet, Chrome OS, Android…

    I’m affraid your conclusion is right : iPad/iPhone Applications will be marginal in the information business

  4. Posted February 1, 2010 at 6:28 pm | Permalink

    It took Apple *over two years* to bring out iWork — and it was for the iPad, not the iPhone.

    With iWork now done, they can start putting in the bits to make it a digital book creation system.

    Apple Will Break Open The Digital Book Floodgates
    http://snurl.com/u8roe

    This is why you haven’t seen a ton of content for the iPad. There was a delay befween the iPhone and its SDK. This delay, I hope, will be shorter.

  5. Posted February 1, 2010 at 10:05 pm | Permalink

    Excellent. You proffer that the rich digitalmedia experience justifies the subscriber price, and therefore the rich media advertising it can contain ( in the case of mags and trade-rags ). I also see lookbooks as showcase product digital media also having touchscreen and desktop value much in the was you do. To what extent? tool around in http://www.lookbookhd.com which is a live test case ( feature/focus group tooling ) This evolution does have the opportunity effect of rebooting the consumption rules – perhaps enough to properly support the publisher-author-distribution engines that keep such things alive. It could well be that portable video-capable touchscreen digitalmedia is enough different that the genre will construct a viable identity for subscription and quality.

  6. Posted February 2, 2010 at 6:49 pm | Permalink

    You might be right in the end. It’s really what we are hoping for.
    I agree with iPad possibilities around unifying digital media content with one transaction, access anywhere. That’s right, ”access anywhere”, and I mean it from any device.

    Which brought to me question what will other brands do like Google ( possible Chomium Tablet PC as well, or HP, or Microsoft ) ? Is there going to be Web App idea or App idea ?

    WebKit is unifying force, IMHO.

    But nobody knows for sure, just like David Pogue said.

  7. Henrik Holmegaard, technical writer
    Posted February 6, 2010 at 5:20 pm | Permalink

    > As the media industry kept unraveling, such reliance mutated into a desperate hope. Can he save us? Can he do for the media business what he did to the music industry with the iPod + iTunes magic combination?

    1. The format is ePub and not PDF and the licencing of a title is locked to the Apple store.

    2. PDF is listed as viewable, along with TIFF and JPEG.

    In 2001, Apple introduced OS X 10.0 as follows, “Mac OS X includes Apple’s new Quartz™ 2D graphics engine (based on the Internet-standard Portable Document Format) for stunning graphics and broad font support.” http://www.apple.com/pr/library/2001/mar/21osxstore.html

    Apple’s support for ISO 15930 PDF/X-3 is so poor that the support is unusable, and there is no support for ISO 19005 PDF/A. Apple Advanced Typography and Microsoft OpenType Layout is unsearable in Apple’s PDF.

    OS X was supposed to be the publishing platform of the future.

    Henrik Holmegaard

  8. Posted July 12, 2010 at 4:05 am | Permalink

    great article

  9. kev
    Posted July 16, 2010 at 10:01 am | Permalink

    Apple is expert in the art of seducing their consumers. They were late to market with an mp3 player and mobile, but they succeeded with great design and innovatlon. See, touch, play with the iPad and if it’s true to form betcha you’ll be under the Steve Jobs spell.

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  11. Posted May 24, 2011 at 8:26 pm | Permalink

    From all the sites I have been to covering this subject matter, I think you do that best at explaining it, so very well done my friend.

  12. Posted June 13, 2011 at 12:17 pm | Permalink

    Coming from my research, shopping for gadgets online can for sure be expensive, nevertheless there are some tricks and tips that you can use to obtain the best bargains. There are constantly ways to locate discount specials that could help to make one to have the best electronic devices products at the smallest prices. Good blog post.

  13. Posted June 11, 2012 at 5:28 pm | Permalink

    I agree, but the “feel” of the kindle screen is sooo much better… My husband has an Ipad and I get tired reading in it after 1/2 hour. I can go on reading the my kindle for hours. All its missing is a better nav system.

11 Trackbacks

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